22–25 Jul 2025
EAM2025
Atlantic/Canary timezone

Towards a Clearer Understanding of Causal Estimands: The Importance of Joint Effects in Longitudinal Designs with Time-Varying Treatments

24 Jul 2025, 08:30
15m
Faculty of Social Sciences and Communication. (The Pyramid)/13 - Room (Faculty of Social Sciences and Communication. (The Pyramid))

Faculty of Social Sciences and Communication. (The Pyramid)/13 - Room

Faculty of Social Sciences and Communication. (The Pyramid)

30
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Oral Presentation Design/Research methods Session 14 : "Dynamic and temporal models in psychology"

Speaker

Lukas Junker

Abstract

Longitudinal study designs present unique challenges for causal reasoning. In longitudinal designs, the potential outcomes framework leads to joint effects, which extend average treatment effects to effects of repeated treatments and thus provide a practical measure of cumulative intervention effects over time. Besides explaining the concept of joint effects and how they relate to mediation, we discuss their applicability to psychological research. We focus on their interpretation and whether they can realistically be identified in longitudinal observational studies in psychology. In this context, addressing unmeasured confounding is a crucial aspect of causal inference and mediation analyses, yet it is insufficiently discussed in the psychological literature. To bridge this gap, we propose a class of research designs for psychological studies where treatment assignment is driven by observable covariates so that joint effects can be identified under more reasonable assumptions.

Oral presentation The Importance of Joint Effects in Longitudinal Causal Inference
Author Lukas Junker
Affiliation LMU Munich
Keywords Causal Inference Longitudinal Designs Mediation

Primary author

Co-authors

Mr Florian Pargent (LMU Munich) Ms Ramona Schoedel (LMU Munich)

Presentation materials